Club Friendlies 3
Jul 19, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT ŠRC Velika Gorica
  • Ante Erceg 28' goal
  • goal Louis Oppie 20'
  • goal Ricky-Jade Jones 76'

Gorica vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gorica

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 16, 2026 4.00pm
Gorica 1 - 0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

St Pauli

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 2.30pm
Babelsberg 1 - 4 St Pauli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Gorica win was 1-0 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Gorica 30.48% (+0.06)
Draw 26.69% (+0.02)
St Pauli 42.83% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.86% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.73% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 25.27% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 50.66% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 49.34% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 28.31% (+0.39)
Under 3.5 71.69% (-0.40)
Over 4.5 15.88% (+0.32)
Under 4.5 84.12% (-0.32)

First Half Winner

Gorica 24.38% (+0.06)
Draw 41.12% (-0.25)
St Pauli 34.5% (+0.22)

Team To Score First

Gorica 42.42% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.63% (-0.12)
St Pauli 49.95% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 55.51% (-0.43)
Equal 8 11.98% (+0.02)
Under 8 32.51% (+0.40)
Over 9 43.52% (-0.39)
Equal 9 12% (-0.02)
Under 9 44.49% (+0.43)
Over 10.5 32.52% (-0.34)
Under 10.5 67.48% (+0.35)

Gorica Goals

Over 1.5 31.73% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 68.27% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 11.66% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 88.34% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 3.33% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 96.67% (-0.10)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 74.39% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 25.61% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 41.81% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 58.19% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 18.6% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 81.4% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 6.57% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 93.43% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Gorica 30.47%
Draw 26.69%
St Pauli 42.84%
Gorica
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.61% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.88% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.23% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.25% (+0.09)
Total : 30.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.63% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.3% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.01)
Total : 26.69%
St Pauli
0-1 @ 9.69% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 6.83% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.25% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.95% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.78% (+0.05)
Other @ 6.49% (+0.08)
Total : 42.84%