Croatian 1. HNL
May 23, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Lovro Kitin 62' yellowcard
  • Amer Gojak 66' goal
  • Daniel Adu-Adjei 77' yellowcard
  • Amer Gojak 84' goal
  • Goran Grulovic 88' yellowcard
  • Dejan Petrovic 88' yellowcard
  • Viktor Vešligaj 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ognjen Bakic 58'
  • yellowcard Théo Epailly 58'
  • yellowcard Sule Wisdom Aondowase 73'
  • yellowcard Luka Vrzic 83'

HNK Rijeka vs Gorica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 5.45pm
Istra 1961 0 - 0 Rijeka
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Daniel Adu-Adjei

Gorica

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 3.00pm
Gorica 2 - 0 Osijek
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Bruno Bogojevic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.23% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.44%) and 2-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%) , while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

HNK Rijeka 57.46% (+0.53)
Draw 23.23% (-0.27)
Gorica 19.36% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.67% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.43% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 24.57% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 51.7% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 48.3% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 29.11% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.89% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 17.29% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 82.71% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

HNK Rijeka 41.27% (+0.12)
Draw 41.01% (-0.03)
Gorica 17.72% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

HNK Rijeka 59.49% (+0.35)
No Goal 6.65% (-0.03)
Gorica 33.86% (-0.32)

Corners

Over 8 55.01% (+0.22)
Equal 8 11.63% (+0.06)
Under 8 33.37% (-0.28)
Over 9 43.42% (+0.17)
Equal 9 11.59% (+0.08)
Under 9 44.99% (-0.22)
Over 10.5 32.8% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 67.2% (-0.08)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 1.5 52.42% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 47.58% (-0.49)
Over 2.5 25.99% (+0.48)
Under 2.5 74.01% (-0.48)
Over 3.5 10.36% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 89.64% (-0.19)

Gorica Goals

Over 0.5 54.88% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 45.12% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 21.95% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 78.05% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 6.67% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 93.33% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 1.61% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 98.39% (+0.08)

Score analysis

HNK Rijeka 57.47%
Draw 23.24%
Gorica 19.37%
HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 12.04% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 10.44% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 10.11% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.16% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 5.48% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3% (+0.03)
Other @ 10.24% (+0.21)
Total : 57.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.02)
Total : 23.24%
Gorica
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 5.3% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.49% (-0.07)
Total : 19.37%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 27
Mar 22, 2026 4.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT ŠRC Velika Gorica
  • Ante Erceg 12' goal
  • Bruno Bogojevic 52' goal
  • Jurica Prsir 68' yellowcard
  • Bruno Bogojevic 70' goal
  • Théo Epailly 72' yellowcard
  • Bruno Bogojevic 76' goal
  • Luka Vrzic 84' yellowcard
  • Stjepan Kucis 84' yellowcard
  • Medin Gashi 90' yellowcard
  • Ognjen Bakic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Medin Gashi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ognjen Bakic 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amer Gojak 46'
  • yellowcard Daniel Adu-Adjei 56'
  • yellowcard Tiago Dantas 56'
  • yellowcard Noel Bodetic 71'
  • yellowcard Noel Bodetic 72'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Rukavina 72'
Croatian 1. HNL
Dec 21, 2025 4.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dejan Petrovic 47' yellowcard
  • Ante Matej Juric 53' goal
  • Justas Lasickas 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateo Les 82'
  • yellowcard Ivan Fiolic 90'
Croatian 1. HNL
Oct 5, 2025 2.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 33
May 4, 2025 5.15pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Niko Jankovic 9' goal
  • Gabrijel Rukavina 30' goal
  • Duje Cop 38' yellowcard
  • Mladen Devetak 64' yellowcard
  • Niko Jankovic 80' yellowcard
  • Stjepan Radeljic 80' yellowcard
  • Simun Butic 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Agon Elezi 64'
  • goal Tibor Halilovic 82'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT SRC Velika Gorica
  • yellowcard Ante Majstorovic 54'
  • yellowcard Lindon Selahi 68'
  • yellowcard Mladen Devetak 73'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2024 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Lindon Selahi 11' redcard
  • Mladen Devetak 15' yellowcard
  • Gabrijel Rukavina 85' goal
  • 86' yellowcard
  • Stjepan Radeljic 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Slogar 43'