Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.23% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.44%) and 2-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%) , while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.