Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Gorica win was 1-0 (8.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.