Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.75% and a win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%) , while for a NK Lokomotiva win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.