Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.05% and a win for Osijek had a probability of 25.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%) , while for a Osijek win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.