Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 1-0 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.