Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2026 2.00pm
Stadion Poljud

Hajduk Split vs NK Istra 1961 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hajduk Split

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2025 2.00pm
Hajduk Split 2 - 1 Vukovar
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Michele Sego

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 3.00pm
Istra 1961 1 - 2 Rijeka
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Smail Prevljak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw has a probability of 22.85% and a win for NK Istra 1961 has a probability of 14.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (10.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.45%) , while for a NK Istra 1961 win it is 0-1 (5.69%).

Result

Hajduk Split 62.26% (+0.37)
Draw 22.85% (+0.23)
NK Istra 1961 14.84% (-0.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.96% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.66% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 27.34% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 46.52% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 53.48% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 24.65% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 75.35% (+0.29)
Over 4.5 14.49% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 85.51% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Hajduk Split 46.81% (+1.02)
Draw 38.75% (-0.76)
NK Istra 1961 14.44% (-0.26)

Team To Score First

Hajduk Split 67.41% (+0.23)
No Goal 7.13% (+0.08)
NK Istra 1961 25.46% (-0.31)

Corners

Over 8 41.91% (-0.36)
Equal 8 12.45% (-0.04)
Under 8 45.64% (+0.39)
Over 9 30.74% (-0.29)
Equal 9 11.18% (-0.07)
Under 9 58.09% (+0.36)
Over 10.5 21.52% (-0.22)
Under 10.5 78.48% (+0.22)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 1.5 52.96% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 47.04% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 24.98% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 75.02% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 9.48%
Under 3.5 90.52%

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 0.5 49.41% (-0.50)
Under 0.5 50.59% (+0.50)
Over 1.5 16.32% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 83.68% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 3.66% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 96.34% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 0.74% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 99.26% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Hajduk Split 62.26%
Draw 22.86%
NK Istra 1961 14.85%
Hajduk Split
1-0 @ 14.49% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 12.64% (+0.26)
2-1 @ 10.65% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 6.83% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.19)
3-2 @ 2.88% (+0.01)
Other @ 9.47%
Total : 62.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 7.13% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.86%
NK Istra 1961
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 3.96% (-0.18)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.73% (-0.08)
Total : 14.85%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL
Oct 19, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 1
Aug 3, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 31
Apr 23, 2025 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Poljud
  • Dominik Prpic 25' yellowcard
  • 57' yellowcard
  • goal Vinko Rozic 35'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Vinko Rozic 13' goal
  • Vinko Rozic 13' goal
  • Marcel Heister 18' yellowcard
  • Antonio Mauric 55' yellowcard
  • Luka Bogdan 57' yellowcard
  • Luka Bogdan 57' yellowcard
  • Dario Maresic 74' yellowcard
  • Vinko Rozic 79' yellowcard
  • goal Abdulia Sanyang 29'
  • yellowcard Niko Sigur 55'
  • yellowcard Filip Uremovic 72'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Poljud
  • Yassine Benrahou 84' goal
  • yellowcard Andre Poko 36'
  • goal Mateo Lisica 67'
  • yellowcard Beyatt Lekweiry 73'
  • yellowcard Mario Cuic 81'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 4
Aug 25, 2024 5.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Marcel Heister 1' goal
  • Jovan Ivanisevic 37' yellowcard
  • Oleksandr Petrusenko 73' yellowcard
  • Paolo Tramezzani 74' yellowcard
  • goal Marko Livaja 60'
  • yellowcard Filip Uremovic 90'+2'