Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.84% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 20.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%) , while for a NK Varazdin win it was 1-0 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.