Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 (8.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.