Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vukovar win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vukovar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 1-2 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.