Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 44.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.75% and a win for Vukovar had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%) , while for a Vukovar win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.