Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2026 2.00pm
Stadion Gradski vrt

Vukovar vs NK Istra 1961 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vukovar

All competitions
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 5.00pm
Dinamo Zagreb 3 - 1 Vukovar
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Alen Jurilj

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 5.00pm
Istra 1961 1 - 1 NK Lokomotiva
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Smail Prevljak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vukovar win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for NK Istra 1961 has a probability of 33.69% and a draw has a probability of 27.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vukovar win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win is 0-1 (9.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.53%).

Result

Vukovar 38.6% (+1.10)
Draw 27.76% (-0.20)
NK Istra 1961 33.69% (-0.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.66% (+0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 73% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 27% (-0.52)
Over 2.5 47.22% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 52.78% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 25.53% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 74.47% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 13.5% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 86.5% (-0.27)

First Half Winner

Vukovar 31.08% (+0.28)
Draw 44.46% (-0.26)
NK Istra 1961 24.46% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Vukovar 46.62% (+0.19)
No Goal 7.64% (-0.21)
NK Istra 1961 45.74% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 51.07% (+0.33)
Equal 8 12.13% (-0.04)
Under 8 36.8% (-0.30)
Over 9 39.34% (+0.34)
Equal 9 11.73%
Under 9 48.93% (-0.33)
Over 10.5 28.93% (+0.31)
Under 10.5 71.07% (-0.32)

Vukovar Goals

Over 1.5 37.06% (+0.93)
Under 1.5 62.94% (-0.93)
Over 2.5 14.38% (+0.61)
Under 2.5 85.62% (-0.60)
Over 3.5 4.62% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 95.38% (-0.25)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 0.5 68.27% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 31.73% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 33.56% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 66.44% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 12.24% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 87.76% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 3.59% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.41% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Vukovar 38.6%
Draw 27.76%
NK Istra 1961 33.68%
Vukovar
1-0 @ 10.34% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 8.56% (+0.21)
2-0 @ 6.65% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 3.56% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 2.82% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 2.35% (+0.11)
Other @ 4.32% (+0.25)
Total : 38.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.53% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.64% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.3% (+0.02)
Total : 27.76%
NK Istra 1961
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.36)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.16)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.29% (-0.07)
Total : 33.68%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL
Nov 1, 2025 2.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL
Aug 15, 2025 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT