Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorica win with a probability of 46.3%. A draw had a probability of 28.54% and a win for Vukovar had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%) , while for a Vukovar win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.