Croatian 1. HNL
Feb 15, 2026 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT ŠRC Velika Gorica
  • Domagoj Pavicic 46' yellowcard
  • Sule Wisdom Aondowase 68' yellowcard
  • Luka Vrzic 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin González 46'
  • yellowcard Alen Jurilj 64'
  • yellowcard Simun Butic 64'

Gorica vs Vukovar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gorica

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 5.00pm
NK Lokomotiva 3 - 0 Gorica
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Bruno Bogojevic

Vukovar

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 2.00pm
Vukovar 3 - 2 Istra 1961
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jakov Puljic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorica win with a probability of 46.3%. A draw had a probability of 28.54% and a win for Vukovar had a probability of 25.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%) , while for a Vukovar win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Gorica 46.3% (-0.83)
Draw 28.54% (+0.42)
Vukovar 25.11% (+0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.78% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.39% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 30.61% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 44.61% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 55.39% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 23.04% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 76.96% (+0.26)
Over 4.5 11.74% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 88.26% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Gorica 35.17% (-0.15)
Draw 43.16% (+0.05)
Vukovar 21.67% (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Gorica 55.37% (-0.24)
No Goal 9.12% (+0.17)
Vukovar 35.51% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 46.76% (-0.02)
Equal 8 12.54%
Under 8 40.7%
Over 9 35.05% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.72% (+0.01)
Under 9 53.24% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 25.02% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 74.98% (+0.03)

Gorica Goals

Over 1.5 41.1% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 58.9% (+0.58)
Over 2.5 17.04% (-0.64)
Under 2.5 82.96% (+0.63)
Over 3.5 5.41% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 94.59% (+0.28)

Vukovar Goals

Over 0.5 60.75% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 39.25% (-0.41)
Over 1.5 25.26% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 74.74% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 7.19% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 92.81% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 1.86%
Under 3.5 98.14%

Score analysis

Gorica 46.31%
Draw 28.54%
Vukovar 25.1%
Gorica
1-0 @ 12.76% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.23)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.22% (-0.29)
Total : 46.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.1% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 9.12% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.22% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.02)
Total : 28.54%
Vukovar
0-1 @ 8.68% (+0.24)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.51% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.81% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.38% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.23% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.67% (-0.02)
Total : 25.1%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL
Nov 7, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL
Aug 22, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT