Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2026 2.00pm
ŠRC Velika Gorica

Gorica vs Vukovar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gorica

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 5.00pm
NK Lokomotiva 3 - 0 Gorica
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Jakov Filipovic

Vukovar

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 2.00pm
Vukovar 0 - 0 Istra 1961
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Alen Jurilj

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gorica win with a probability of 46.3%. A draw has a probability of 28.54% and a win for Vukovar has a probability of 25.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.1%) , while for a Vukovar win it is 0-1 (8.68%).

Result

Gorica 46.3% (-0.83)
Draw 28.54% (+0.42)
Vukovar 25.11% (+0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.78% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.39% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 30.61% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 44.61% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 55.39% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 23.04% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 76.96% (+0.26)
Over 4.5 11.74% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 88.26% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Gorica 35.17% (-0.15)
Draw 43.16% (+0.05)
Vukovar 21.67% (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Gorica 55.37% (-0.24)
No Goal 9.12% (+0.17)
Vukovar 35.51% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 46.76% (-0.02)
Equal 8 12.54%
Under 8 40.7%
Over 9 35.05% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.72% (+0.01)
Under 9 53.24% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 25.02% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 74.98% (+0.03)

Gorica Goals

Over 1.5 41.1% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 58.9% (+0.58)
Over 2.5 17.04% (-0.64)
Under 2.5 82.96% (+0.63)
Over 3.5 5.41% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 94.59% (+0.28)

Vukovar Goals

Over 0.5 60.75% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 39.25% (-0.41)
Over 1.5 25.26% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 74.74% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 7.19% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 92.81% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 1.86%
Under 3.5 98.14%

Score analysis

Gorica 46.31%
Draw 28.54%
Vukovar 25.1%
Gorica
1-0 @ 12.76% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.23)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.22% (-0.29)
Total : 46.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.1% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 9.12% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.22% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.02)
Total : 28.54%
Vukovar
0-1 @ 8.68% (+0.24)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.51% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.81% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.38% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.23% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.67% (-0.02)
Total : 25.1%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL
Nov 7, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL
Aug 22, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT