Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Vukovar had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Vukovar win was 1-0 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%).