Croatian 1. HNL
Mar 8, 2026 4.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gradski vrt
  • Kristijan Pavicic 59' yellowcard
  • Kristijan Pavicic 60' yellowcard
  • Josip Špoljarić 75' yellowcard
  • Simun Butic 76' yellowcard
  • Kerim Çalhanoğlu 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Toni Fruk 51'
  • yellowcard Amer Gojak 74'
  • yellowcard Christian Ouguehi Legbo 74'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Daniel Barco del Solar 81'
  • yellowcard Duje Cop 81'
  • yellowcard Stjepan Radeljic 86'

Vukovar vs HNK Rijeka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vukovar

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 2.00pm
Osijek 2 - 0 Vukovar
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jakov Puljic

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 2.00pm
Rijeka 2 - 0 NK Lokomotiva
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ante Matej Juric

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vukovar win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vukovar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 (9.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Vukovar 41.15% (+0.08)
Draw 28.38%
HNK Rijeka 30.46% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.9% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.35% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 29.65% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 45.28% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 54.72% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 23.57% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 76.43% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 12.39% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.61% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Vukovar 32.1%
Draw 44.78% (-0.04)
HNK Rijeka 23.12% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Vukovar 51.32%
No Goal 9.06%
HNK Rijeka 39.62%

Corners

Over 8 53.9% (-0.07)
Equal 8 12.16% (-0.02)
Under 8 33.94% (+0.08)
Over 9 41.87% (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.03% (-0.03)
Under 9 46.1% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 30.98% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 69.02% (+0.02)

Vukovar Goals

Over 1.5 37.97% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 62.03% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 14.9% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 85.1% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 4.88% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.12% (-0.04)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 64.71% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 35.29% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.48% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 70.52% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 10.3% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 89.7% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.91% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.09% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Vukovar 41.16%
Draw 28.39%
HNK Rijeka 30.47%
Vukovar
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.15% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.14% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.61% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.29% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.62% (+0.04)
Total : 41.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.06% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.06%
2-2 @ 5.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 28.39%
HNK Rijeka
0-1 @ 9.41%
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.86%
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.65% (-0.03)
Total : 30.47%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Stjepan Radeljic 11' goal
  • Ante Orec 30' goal
  • Mladen Devetak 58' yellowcard
  • Toni Fruk 80' goal
  • yellowcard Kerim Calhanoglu 4'
  • yellowcard Robin Gonzales 32'
  • goal Robin Gonzales 66'
  • yellowcard Kristijan Pavičić 90'+1'
Croatian 1. HNL
Sep 22, 2025 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT