Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Omonia had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Omonia win was 0-1 (8.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.