Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 41.34%. A draw had a probability of 30.45% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 28.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.51%) , while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (10.72%).