Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2026 4.45pm
Stadion HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka vs NK Istra 1961 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 4.45pm
Vukovar 0 - 1 Rijeka
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ante Matej Juric

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 5.00pm
Istra 1961 0 - 1 Osijek
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Smail Prevljak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw has a probability of 23.72% and a win for NK Istra 1961 has a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (10.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.24%) , while for a NK Istra 1961 win it is 0-1 (5.78%).

Result

HNK Rijeka 59.51%
Draw 23.72%
NK Istra 1961 16.77%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.25%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.47%
Under 1.5 26.53%
Over 2.5 48.84%
Under 2.5 51.16%
Over 3.5 26.35%
Under 3.5 73.65%
Over 4.5 15.34%
Under 4.5 84.66%

First Half Winner

HNK Rijeka 37.59%
Draw 42.95%
NK Istra 1961 19.46%

Team To Score First

HNK Rijeka 60.46%
No Goal 7.34%
NK Istra 1961 32.2%

Corners

Over 8 54.89%
Equal 8 11.94%
Under 8 33.18%
Over 9 43.02%
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 45.11%
Over 10.5 32.2%
Under 10.5 67.8%

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 1.5 52.32%
Under 1.5 47.68%
Over 2.5 25.4%
Under 2.5 74.6%
Over 3.5 10.06%
Under 3.5 89.94%

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 0.5 51.73%
Under 0.5 48.27%
Over 1.5 18.6%
Under 1.5 81.4%
Over 2.5 4.88%
Under 2.5 95.12%
Over 3.5 1.09%
Under 3.5 98.91%

Score analysis

HNK Rijeka 59.51%
Draw 23.72%
NK Istra 1961 16.76%
HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 13.4%
2-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 10.56%
3-0 @ 6.56%
3-1 @ 5.55%
3-2 @ 2.48%
Other @ 9.95%
Total : 59.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24%
0-0 @ 7.34%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.72%
NK Istra 1961
0-1 @ 5.78%
1-2 @ 4.58%
0-2 @ 2.38%
1-3 @ 1.17%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 16.76%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Salim Lawal 5' goal
  • Salim Fago Lawal 5' goal
  • Advan Kadusic 16' yellowcard
  • Vinko Rozic 58' yellowcard
  • Danijel Djuric 69' yellowcard
  • Charles Adah Agada 83' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Menalo 9'
  • yellowcard Daniel Adu-Adjei 16'
  • yellowcard Amer Gojak 16'
  • yellowcard Tornike Morchiladze 66'
  • yellowcard Tiago Dantas 75'
  • yellowcard Duje Cop 88'
  • yellowcard Teo Barišić 88'
  • yellowcard Teo Barišić 89'
Croatian 1. HNL
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Salim Lawal 28' goal
  • Vinko Rozic 70' goal
  • yellowcard Amer Gojak 22'
  • yellowcard Niko Jankovic 67'
  • yellowcard Ante Majstorovic 78'
  • yellowcard Ante Orec 84'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Bruno Goda 46' yellowcard
  • Nais Djouahra 70' yellowcard
  • goal Giorgi Gagua 38'
  • yellowcard Ville Koski 53'
  • yellowcard Kristian Fucak 56'
  • yellowcard Stephane Paul Keller 69'
  • yellowcard Stjepan Loncar 90'+3'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2024 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Advan Kadusic 26' yellowcard
  • Salim Lawal 40' yellowcard
  • Moris Valincic 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabrijel Rukavina 17'
  • yellowcard Ivan Smolcic 29'
  • yellowcard Niko Jankovic 35'
  • yellowcard Mladen Devetak 45'
  • yellowcard Marco Pasalic 54'
  • goal Toni Fruk 76'
  • yellowcard Simun Butic 90'+1'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 3
Aug 18, 2024 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Gabrijel Rukavina 18' goal
  • Marco Pasalic 24' goal
  • Franjo Ivanovic 27' goal
  • Franjo Ivanovic 66' goal
  • yellowcard Iurie Iovu 15'
  • yellowcard Beyatt Lekweiry 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Dario Maresic 47'
  • yellowcard Lovro Majkic 52'
  • yellowcard Stephane Paul Keller 68'
  • yellowcard Mario Cuic 90'+3'