Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 25
Mar 6, 2026 5.00pm
Stadion Aldo Drosina

NK Istra 1961 vs Osijek - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 5.00pm
Slaven Koprivnica 1 - 0 Istra 1961
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Smail Prevljak

Osijek

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 2.00pm
Osijek 2 - 0 Vukovar
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Samuel Akere

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a NK Istra 1961 win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Osijek has a probability of 34.29% and a draw has a probability of 28.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Istra 1961 win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Osijek win is 0-1 (9.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.15%).

Result

NK Istra 1961 37.58% (+2.27)
Draw 28.08% (-0.28)
Osijek 34.29% (-2.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.52% (-0.59)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.87% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 28.13% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 47.17% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 52.83% (-0.42)
Over 3.5 25% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 74.94% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 13.03% (+0.54)
Under 4.5 86.97% (-0.55)

First Half Winner

NK Istra 1961 30.38% (+1.08)
Draw 43.3% (-0.71)
Osijek 26.32% (-0.38)

Team To Score First

NK Istra 1961 46.31% (+1.14)
No Goal 8.23% (-0.14)
Osijek 45.46% (-1.00)

Corners

Over 8 52.5% (+1.04)
Equal 8 12.26% (+0.02)
Under 8 35.24% (-1.05)
Over 9 40.51% (+0.91)
Equal 9 11.99% (+0.13)
Under 9 47.5% (-1.04)
Over 10.5 29.78% (+0.74)
Under 10.5 70.22% (-0.74)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 1.5 36.02% (+1.85)
Under 1.5 63.98% (-1.84)
Over 2.5 13.78% (+1.01)
Under 2.5 86.22% (-1.02)
Over 3.5 4.21% (+0.61)
Under 3.5 95.79% (-0.60)

Osijek Goals

Over 0.5 68.4% (-1.86)
Under 0.5 31.6% (+1.87)
Over 1.5 33.58% (-1.25)
Under 1.5 66.42% (+1.24)
Over 2.5 12.52% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 87.48% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 3.8% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 96.2% (+0.25)

Score analysis

NK Istra 1961 37.58%
Draw 28.07%
Osijek 34.29%
NK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 10.3% (+0.54)
2-1 @ 8.62% (+0.35)
2-0 @ 6.17% (+0.39)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 2.86% (+0.36)
3-2 @ 2.14% (+0.14)
Other @ 3.98% (+0.63)
Total : 37.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.26)
0-0 @ 8.23% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 5.4% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.06% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.23% (-0.02)
Total : 28.07%
Osijek
0-1 @ 9.54% (-0.61)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.48)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.42)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.36)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.57% (-0.23)
Total : 34.29%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Croatian 1. HNL
Sep 21, 2025 6.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 36
May 25, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Opus Arena
  • Hernani 55' goal
  • Niko Farkas 65' yellowcard
  • goal Dario Maresic 37'
  • yellowcard Stephane Paul Keller 80'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Salim Lawal 45' goal
  • Marcel Heister 87' yellowcard
  • Vinko Rozic 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Ivan Cvijanovic 13'
  • yellowcard Jon Mersinaj 28'
  • yellowcard Justice Chigozirim Ohajunwa 45'+5'
  • goal Hernani 68'
  • yellowcard Petar Pusic 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Simun Mikolcic 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Kemal Ademi 90'+4'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 18
Dec 20, 2024 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Mewa Arena
  • Vedran Jugovic 54' yellowcard
  • Filip Zivkovic 64' goal
  • Pedro Lima 67' goal
  • Alessandro Tuia 74' yellowcard
  • goal Beyatt Lekweiry 37'
  • yellowcard Sergej Banovic 54'
  • goal Giorgi Gagua 60'
  • yellowcard Moris Valincic 88'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 9
Oct 4, 2024 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Luka Jelenic 12' goal
  • Luka Jelenic 22' goal
  • Dario Maresic 58' yellowcard
  • Beyatt Lekweiry 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Petar Pusic 33'
  • yellowcard Domagoj Bukvic 59'
  • goal Marko Soldo 88'