Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Istra 1961 win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Istra 1961 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Osijek win was 0-1 (9.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.