Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Istra 1961 win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Istra 1961 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Gorica win was 0-1 (10%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.