Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 44.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.14% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 27.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%) , while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.