Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.14% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.77%) and 2-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%) , while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.