Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2026 5.30pm
Stadion Poljud

Hajduk Split vs Gorica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hajduk Split

All competitions
Last game
Apr 7, 2026 5.00pm
Istra 1961 1 - 3 Hajduk Split
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Michele Sego

Gorica

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 5.15pm
Varazdin 1 - 1 Gorica
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Bruno Bogojevic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw has a probability of 24.14% and a win for Gorica has a probability of 20.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.77%) and 2-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.66%) , while for a Gorica win it is 0-1 (6.26%).

Result

Hajduk Split 55.7% (-0.26)
Draw 24.14% (+0.13)
Gorica 20.16% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

51% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.33% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 25.67% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 49.76% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 50.24% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 26.63% (-0.59)
Under 3.5 73.37% (+0.58)
Over 4.5 15.1% (-0.42)
Under 4.5 84.9% (+0.42)

First Half Winner

Hajduk Split 39.08%
Draw 40.28%
Gorica 20.64%

Team To Score First

Hajduk Split 59.94% (-0.09)
No Goal 6.97% (+0.13)
Gorica 33.09% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 51.4% (-0.43)
Equal 8 12.05% (-0.02)
Under 8 36.55% (+0.43)
Over 9 39.71% (-0.37)
Equal 9 11.68% (-0.07)
Under 9 48.6% (+0.43)
Over 10.5 29.31% (-0.30)
Under 10.5 70.69% (+0.29)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 1.5 50.18% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 49.82% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 23.28% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 76.72% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 8.71% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 91.29% (+0.25)

Gorica Goals

Over 0.5 56.12%
Under 0.5 43.88%
Over 1.5 22.18% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 77.82% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 6.38% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 93.62% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 1.39% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 98.61% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Hajduk Split 55.69%
Draw 24.13%
Gorica 20.16%
Hajduk Split
1-0 @ 12.42% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 10.77% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.08)
Other @ 8.69% (-0.23)
Total : 55.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.97% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.02% (-0.02)
Total : 24.13%
Gorica
0-1 @ 6.26% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 5.52% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.85%
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.12% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.37% (-0.03)
Total : 20.16%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL
Jan 31, 2026 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT ŠRC Velika Gorica
  • Iker Pozo 44' goal
  • Ognjen Bakic 46' yellowcard
  • Stjepan Kucis 67' yellowcard
  • Domagoj Pavicic 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marko Livaja 26'
  • yellowcard Rokas Pukstas 46'
  • yellowcard Roko Brajkovic 59'
  • yellowcard Adrion Pajaziti 78'
  • yellowcard Dario Melnjak 78'
Croatian 1. HNL
Oct 24, 2025 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL
Aug 10, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 34
May 11, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT SRC Velika Gorica
  • Adrion Pajaziti 7' yellowcard
  • Slavko Bralic 38' yellowcard
  • Adrion Pajaziti 48' goal
  • yellowcard Dominik Prpic 45'+2'
  • goal Marko Livaja 54'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Poljud
  • Jan Mlakar 7' yellowcard
  • Jan Mlakar 22' goal
  • Ivan Banic 68' goal
  • goal Martin Slogar 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ante Erceg 90'+4'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT SRC Velika Gorica
  • Marko Kolar 48' yellowcard
  • Kresimir Krizmanic 50' goal
  • Damjan Pavlovic 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zvonimir Sarlija 66'