Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.39% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%) , while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.