Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 (9.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.