Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 65.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%) , while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.