Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 63.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.66% and a win for Osijek had a probability of 14.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (10.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%) , while for a Osijek win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.