Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.09%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.