Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.02% and a win for Slaven Koprivnica had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.47%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%) , while for a Slaven Koprivnica win it was 1-0 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.