Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 70.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.53% and a win for Osijek had a probability of 11.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (11.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%) , while for a Osijek win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.