Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 0-1 (9.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.