Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorica win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Osijek win was 0-1 (9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.