Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.95% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%) , while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.