Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Vukovar had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Vukovar win was 1-0 (9.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.