Croatian 1. HNL
Apr 22, 2026 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Gradski vrt
  • Kerim Çalhanoğlu 32' yellowcard
  • Antonio Bosec 46' yellowcard
  • Jakov Puljic 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Lovre Kulusic 59' yellowcard
  • Pocholo Bugas 76' yellowcard
  • Alen Jurilj 76' yellowcard
  • goal Zan Trontelj 19'
  • yellowcard Ante Erceg 66'
  • yellowcard Ognjen Bakic 81'
  • yellowcard Théo Epailly 89'

Vukovar vs Gorica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vukovar

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 5.45pm
Istra 1961 1 - 2 Vukovar
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Jakov Puljic

Gorica

All competitions
Last game
Apr 17, 2026 2.30pm
Gorica 0 - 2 NK Lokomotiva
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Bruno Bogojevic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorica win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Vukovar had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Vukovar win was 1-0 (8.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Vukovar 28.85% (-0.34)
Draw 26.18% (+0.36)
Gorica 44.97% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.68% (-0.48)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.94% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 26.06% (+0.53)
Over 2.5 49.87% (-0.79)
Under 2.5 50.13% (+0.79)
Over 3.5 27.33% (-0.58)
Under 3.5 72.67% (+0.58)
Over 4.5 14.74% (-0.45)
Under 4.5 85.26% (+0.46)

First Half Winner

Vukovar 25.23% (+0.02)
Draw 41.88% (+0.25)
Gorica 32.89% (-0.25)

Team To Score First

Vukovar 40.06% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.36% (+0.20)
Gorica 52.58% (-0.17)

Corners

Over 8 45.32% (-0.51)
Equal 8 12.05% (-0.02)
Under 8 42.63% (+0.54)
Over 9 34.2% (-0.45)
Equal 9 11.12% (-0.07)
Under 9 54.68% (+0.51)
Over 10.5 24.74% (-0.37)
Under 10.5 75.26% (+0.36)

Vukovar Goals

Over 1.5 29.98% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 70.02% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 10.13% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 89.87% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 2.89% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 97.11% (+0.13)

Gorica Goals

Over 0.5 75.34% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 24.66% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 43.19% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 56.81% (+0.53)
Over 2.5 18.45% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 81.55% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 6.6% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 93.4% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Vukovar 28.86%
Draw 26.17%
Gorica 44.98%
Vukovar
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.1% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.6% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.67% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.7% (-0.12)
Total : 28.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 7.36% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 26.17%
Gorica
0-1 @ 10.41% (+0.42)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 7.5% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.35% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 3.84% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.09)
Other @ 6.41% (-0.17)
Total : 44.98%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL
Feb 15, 2026 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT ŠRC Velika Gorica
  • Domagoj Pavicic 46' yellowcard
  • Sule Wisdom Aondowase 68' yellowcard
  • Luka Vrzic 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin González 46'
  • yellowcard Alen Jurilj 64'
  • yellowcard Simun Butic 64'
Croatian 1. HNL
Nov 7, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL
Aug 22, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT