Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 32
Apr 27, 2026 5.00pm
ŠRC Velika Gorica

Gorica vs NK Istra 1961 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gorica

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2026 2.30pm
Vukovar 1 - 2 Gorica
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Bruno Bogojevic

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2026 7.15pm
Istra 1961 0 - 2 Dinamo Zagreb
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Smail Prevljak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gorica win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for NK Istra 1961 has a probability of 33.54% and a draw has a probability of 26.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win is 0-1 (9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.25%).

Result

Gorica 39.9%
Draw 26.61% (+0.02)
NK Istra 1961 33.54% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.06% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.39% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 27.61% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 47.69%
Under 2.5 52.31%
Over 3.5 25.78% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 74.22% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 13.47% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.53% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Gorica 29.66% (-0.04)
Draw 44.22% (-0.01)
NK Istra 1961 26.11% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Gorica 49.51% (-0.14)
No Goal 8.13% (+0.02)
NK Istra 1961 42.36% (+0.12)

Corners

Over 8 47.05% (+0.06)
Equal 8 12.37% (+0.01)
Under 8 40.58% (-0.08)
Over 9 35.46% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.59% (+0.02)
Under 9 52.95% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 25.5% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 74.5% (-0.04)

Gorica Goals

Over 1.5 37.53% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 62.47% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 14.74%
Under 2.5 85.26%
Over 3.5 4.47%
Under 3.5 95.53%

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 0.5 67.31% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 32.69% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 33.28% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 66.72% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 11.95% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.05% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.62%
Under 3.5 96.38%

Score analysis

Gorica 39.9%
Draw 26.62%
NK Istra 1961 33.54%
Gorica
1-0 @ 10.54% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 6.89% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.5%
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 39.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.13% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 26.62%
NK Istra 1961
0-1 @ 9%
1-2 @ 8.11% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.55% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.93% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 33.54%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL
Feb 21, 2026 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Filip Taraba 57' yellowcard
  • Silvio Gorican 63' yellowcard
  • Antonio Mauric 63' yellowcard
  • Marcel Heister 72' yellowcard
  • Nik Skafar Zuzic 72' yellowcard
  • goal Domagoj Pavicic 41'
  • yellowcard Luka Vrzic 67'
  • yellowcard Ante Erceg 67'
  • goal Jurica Prsir 77'
  • yellowcard Mateo Les 80'
  • yellowcard Stjepan Kucis 86'
Croatian 1. HNL
Nov 23, 2025 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL
Aug 29, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 4 4
FT SRC Velika Gorica
  • Martin Slogar 19' goal
  • Martin Slogar 19' goal
  • Gregor Sikosek 26' yellowcard
  • Filip Cuic 31' goal
  • Filip Cuic 31' goal
  • Tibor Halilovic 46' yellowcard
  • Marko Kolar 81' goal
  • Marko Kolar 81' goal
  • goal Stjepan Loncar 13'
  • goal Stjepan Loncar 13'
  • goal Moris Valincic 17'
  • goal Moris Valincic 17'
  • yellowcard Marcel Heister 53'
  • redcard Marcel Heister 83'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2025 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • 64' goal
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2024 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT SRC Velika Gorica
  • Aleksander Bracovic 41' yellowcard
  • Luka Kapulica 55' yellowcard
  • Mateo Les 61' yellowcard
  • Martin Slogar 84' goal
  • yellowcard Beyatt Lekweiry 40'
  • yellowcard Dario Maresic 83'