Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slaven Koprivnica win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slaven Koprivnica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 1-0 (8.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.