Croatian 1. HNL
Istra 1961
May 17, 2026 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
Rijeka
  • Silvio Gorican 62' yellowcard
  • Marcel Heister 72' yellowcard
  • Vinko Rozic 72' yellowcard
  • Nik Skafar Zuzic 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justas Lasickas 62'

NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 3.00pm
Osijek 0 - 1 Istra 1961
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Smail Prevljak

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Last game
May 8, 2026 7.00pm
Rijeka 3 - 0 Vukovar
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Daniel Adu-Adjei

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.12%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 1-0 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

NK Istra 1961 26.55% ▲ (+0.82)
Draw 25.66% ▼ (-0.22)
HNK Rijeka 47.79% ▼ (-0.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.08% ▲ (+0.91)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.05% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 1.5 25.95% ▲ (+0.60)
Over 2.5 50.12% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 2.5 49.88% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 3.5 27.54% ▼ (-0.86)
Under 3.5 72.46% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 4.5 14.72% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 4.5 85.28% ▲ (+0.60)

First Half Winner

NK Istra 1961 23.3% ▲ (+0.52)
Draw 44.38% ▼ (-1.79)
HNK Rijeka 32.32% ▲ (+1.27)

Team To Score First

NK Istra 1961 39.36% ▲ (+0.11)
No Goal 7.56% ▲ (+0.10)
HNK Rijeka 53.08% ▼ (-0.21)

Corners

Over 8 52.34% ▲ (+1.10)
Equal 8 11.98% ▼ (-0.85)
Under 8 35.68% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 9 40.65% ▲ (+1.84)
Equal 9 11.7% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 9 47.66% ▼ (-1.10)
Over 10.5 30.16% ▲ (+2.33)
Under 10.5 69.84% ▼ (-2.32)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 1.5 28.31%
Under 1.5 71.69%
Over 2.5 9.36% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 90.64% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.48% ▲ (+0.02)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 76.99% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 0.5 23.01% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 1.5 44.95% ▼ (-1.13)
Under 1.5 55.05% ▲ (+1.13)
Over 2.5 19.76% ▼ (-0.85)
Under 2.5 80.24% ▲ (+0.85)
Over 3.5 6.72% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 93.28% ▲ (+0.49)

Score analysis

NK Istra 1961 26.54%
Draw 25.66%
HNK Rijeka 47.78%
NK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.36)
2-1 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.36)
3-1 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 26.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.26)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 25.66%
HNK Rijeka
0-1 @ 11% ▲ (+0.15)
1-2 @ 10.12% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.45)
Total : 47.78%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL
Rijeka
Mar 15, 2026 4.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
  • Alfonso Daniel Barco del Solar 46' yellowcard
  • Tornike Morchiladze 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Adu-Adjei 61' yellowcard
  • Ante Orec 61' yellowcard
  • Dominik Thaqi 73' yellowcard
  • goal Smail Prevljak 2'
  • goal Emil Frederiksen 9'
  • yellowcard Israel Isaac Ayuma 54'
  • yellowcard Niko Šepić 67'
  • yellowcard Niko Šepić 68'
  • yellowcard Samuli Miettinen 83'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 17
Istra 1961
Jan 20, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
Rijeka
  • Salim Lawal 5' goal
  • Salim Fago Lawal 5' goal
  • Advan Kadusic 16' yellowcard
  • Vinko Rozic 58' yellowcard
  • Danijel Djuric 69' yellowcard
  • Charles Adah Agada 83' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Menalo 9'
  • yellowcard Daniel Adu-Adjei 16'
  • yellowcard Amer Gojak 16'
  • yellowcard Tornike Morchiladze 66'
  • yellowcard Tiago Dantas 75'
  • yellowcard Duje Cop 88'
  • yellowcard Teo Barišić 88'
  • yellowcard Teo Barišić 89'
Croatian 1. HNL
Rijeka
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Istra 1961
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 30
Istra 1961
Apr 19, 2025 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
Rijeka
  • Salim Lawal 28' goal
  • Vinko Rozic 70' goal
  • yellowcard Amer Gojak 22'
  • yellowcard Niko Jankovic 67'
  • yellowcard Ante Majstorovic 78'
  • yellowcard Ante Orec 84'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 21
Rijeka
Feb 9, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
  • Bruno Goda 46' yellowcard
  • Nais Djouahra 70' yellowcard
  • goal Giorgi Gagua 38'
  • yellowcard Ville Koski 53'
  • yellowcard Kristian Fucak 56'
  • yellowcard Stephane Paul Keller 69'
  • yellowcard Stjepan Loncar 90'+3'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 12
Istra 1961
Nov 3, 2024 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
Rijeka
  • Advan Kadusic 26' yellowcard
  • Salim Lawal 40' yellowcard
  • Moris Valincic 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabrijel Rukavina 17'
  • yellowcard Ivan Smolcic 29'
  • yellowcard Niko Jankovic 35'
  • yellowcard Mladen Devetak 45'
  • yellowcard Marco Pasalic 54'
  • goal Toni Fruk 76'
  • yellowcard Simun Butic 90'+1'

Form Data

Osijek 0 - 1 Istra 1961
Istra 1961 3 - 1 Slaven Koprivnica
Gorica 1 - 0 Istra 1961
Istra 1961 0 - 2 Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961 1 - 2 Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva 2 - 0 Istra 1961
Rijeka 3 - 0 Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva 0 - 3 Rijeka
Rijeka 0 - 0 Hajduk Split
Varazdin 1 - 0 Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 2 Rijeka
Rijeka 0 - 2 Osijek