Croatian 1. HNL
May 17, 2026 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Silvio Gorican 62' yellowcard
  • Marcel Heister 72' yellowcard
  • Vinko Rozic 72' yellowcard
  • Nik Skafar Zuzic 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justas Lasickas 62'

NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 3.00pm
Osijek 0 - 1 Istra 1961
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Smail Prevljak

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Last game
May 8, 2026 7.00pm
Rijeka 3 - 0 Vukovar
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Daniel Adu-Adjei

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for NK Istra 1961 has a probability of 26.55% and a draw has a probability of 25.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win is 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (10.12%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win is 1-0 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.73%).

Result

NK Istra 1961 26.55% (+0.82)
Draw 25.66% (-0.22)
HNK Rijeka 47.79% (-0.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.08% (+0.91)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.05% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 25.95% (+0.60)
Over 2.5 50.12% (-1.04)
Under 2.5 49.88% (+1.04)
Over 3.5 27.54% (-0.86)
Under 3.5 72.46% (+0.86)
Over 4.5 14.72% (-0.60)
Under 4.5 85.28% (+0.60)

First Half Winner

NK Istra 1961 23.3% (+0.52)
Draw 44.38% (-1.79)
HNK Rijeka 32.32% (+1.27)

Team To Score First

NK Istra 1961 39.36% (+0.11)
No Goal 7.56% (+0.10)
HNK Rijeka 53.08% (-0.21)

Corners

Over 8 52.34% (+1.10)
Equal 8 11.98% (-0.85)
Under 8 35.68% (-0.25)
Over 9 40.65% (+1.84)
Equal 9 11.7% (-0.75)
Under 9 47.66% (-1.10)
Over 10.5 30.16% (+2.33)
Under 10.5 69.84% (-2.32)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 1.5 28.31%
Under 1.5 71.69%
Over 2.5 9.36% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 90.64% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 2.52% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.48% (+0.02)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 76.99% (-0.77)
Under 0.5 23.01% (+0.77)
Over 1.5 44.95% (-1.13)
Under 1.5 55.05% (+1.13)
Over 2.5 19.76% (-0.85)
Under 2.5 80.24% (+0.85)
Over 3.5 6.72% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 93.28% (+0.49)

Score analysis

NK Istra 1961 26.54%
Draw 25.66%
HNK Rijeka 47.78%
NK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 7.37% (+0.36)
2-1 @ 6.84% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 4.14% (+0.36)
3-1 @ 2.47% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.8% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.39% (+0.05)
Total : 26.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 7.56% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.26)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.05)
Total : 25.66%
HNK Rijeka
0-1 @ 11% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 10.12% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 8.07% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 4.08% (-0.14)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.07)
Other @ 6.59% (-0.45)
Total : 47.78%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL
Mar 15, 2026 4.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Alfonso Daniel Barco del Solar 46' yellowcard
  • Tornike Morchiladze 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Adu-Adjei 61' yellowcard
  • Ante Orec 61' yellowcard
  • Dominik Thaqi 73' yellowcard
  • goal Smail Prevljak 2'
  • goal Emil Frederiksen 9'
  • yellowcard Israel Isaac Ayuma 54'
  • yellowcard Niko Šepić 67'
  • yellowcard Niko Šepić 68'
  • yellowcard Samuli Miettinen 83'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Salim Lawal 5' goal
  • Salim Fago Lawal 5' goal
  • Advan Kadusic 16' yellowcard
  • Vinko Rozic 58' yellowcard
  • Danijel Djuric 69' yellowcard
  • Charles Adah Agada 83' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Menalo 9'
  • yellowcard Daniel Adu-Adjei 16'
  • yellowcard Amer Gojak 16'
  • yellowcard Tornike Morchiladze 66'
  • yellowcard Tiago Dantas 75'
  • yellowcard Duje Cop 88'
  • yellowcard Teo Barišić 88'
  • yellowcard Teo Barišić 89'
Croatian 1. HNL
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Salim Lawal 28' goal
  • Vinko Rozic 70' goal
  • yellowcard Amer Gojak 22'
  • yellowcard Niko Jankovic 67'
  • yellowcard Ante Majstorovic 78'
  • yellowcard Ante Orec 84'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Bruno Goda 46' yellowcard
  • Nais Djouahra 70' yellowcard
  • goal Giorgi Gagua 38'
  • yellowcard Ville Koski 53'
  • yellowcard Kristian Fucak 56'
  • yellowcard Stephane Paul Keller 69'
  • yellowcard Stjepan Loncar 90'+3'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2024 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Advan Kadusic 26' yellowcard
  • Salim Lawal 40' yellowcard
  • Moris Valincic 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabrijel Rukavina 17'
  • yellowcard Ivan Smolcic 29'
  • yellowcard Niko Jankovic 35'
  • yellowcard Mladen Devetak 45'
  • yellowcard Marco Pasalic 54'
  • goal Toni Fruk 76'
  • yellowcard Simun Butic 90'+1'