Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 23, 2026 2.00pm
Etihad Stadium

Manchester City vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
Man City 1 - 2 Aston Villa

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Bournemouth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 58.53%. A draw has a probability of 22.86% and a win for Bournemouth has a probability of 18.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.08%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.17%) , while for a Bournemouth win it is 0-1 (5.38%).

Result

Manchester City 58.53% (+0.04)
Draw 22.86%
Bournemouth 18.64% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.42%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.27% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 22.73% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 55.2% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 44.8% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 33.4% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 66.6% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 20.92%
Under 4.5 79.08%

First Half Winner

Manchester City 45.42%
Draw 35.64%
Bournemouth 18.94%

Team To Score First

Manchester City 62.01% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.32% (+0.02)
Bournemouth 31.67%

Corners

Over 8 74.15% (-0.16)
Equal 8 9.12% (+0.02)
Under 8 16.73% (+0.15)
Over 9 63.43% (-0.18)
Equal 9 10.72% (+0.01)
Under 9 25.85% (+0.17)
Over 10.5 51.98% (-0.17)
Under 10.5 48.02% (+0.17)

Manchester City Goals

Over 1.5 55.35% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 44.65% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 29.28% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 70.72% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 12.82%
Under 3.5 87.18%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 54.75%
Under 0.5 45.25%
Over 1.5 23.25% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 76.75% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.21% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 92.79% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.13% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.87% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Manchester City 58.52%
Draw 22.86%
Bournemouth 18.65%
Manchester City
1-0 @ 11.06% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.08%
2-0 @ 9.44% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.89%
3-1 @ 5.87% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.61%
Other @ 12.57% (+0.01)
Total : 58.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.17% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.32% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.25% (-0.02)
Total : 22.86%
Bournemouth
0-1 @ 5.38%
1-2 @ 4.93%
0-2 @ 2.47%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 18.65%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 37
May 19, 2026 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Eli Kroupi 39' goal
  • Justin Kluivert  76' yellowcard
  • David Brooks 84' yellowcard
  • Lewis Cook 89' yellowcard
  • Enes Ünal 89' yellowcard
  • Lewis Cook 90' yellowcard
  • Enes Ünal 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rayan Cherki 56'
  • yellowcard Phil Foden 56'
  • yellowcard Savinho 56'
  • yellowcard Omar Marmoush 76'
  • goal Erling Haaland 90'+5'
Premier League
Nov 2, 2025 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 20, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Omar Marmoush 14' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 38' goal
  • Ederson 67' yellowcard
  • Mateo Kovacic 67' redcard
  • Nico Gonzalez 89' goal
  • yellowcard Dean Huijsen 36'
  • yellowcard Julian Araujo 44'
  • redcard Lewis Cook 73'
  • yellowcard Marcus Tavernier 88'
  • goal Daniel Jebbison 90'+6'
FA Cup
Mar 30, 2025 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Evanilson 21' goal
  • Ryan Christie 62' yellowcard
  • Lewis Cook 70' yellowcard
  • Justin Kluivert 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdukodir Khusanov 37'
  • goal Erling Haaland 49'
  • goal Omar Marmoush 63'
  • yellowcard Matheus Nunes 86'
  • yellowcard James McAtee 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Ryan Christie 6' yellowcard
  • Antoine Semenyo 9' goal
  • Evanilson 64' goal
  • Tyler Adams 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker 71'
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 82'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Lewis Cook 38' yellowcard
  • Marcos Senesi 70' yellowcard
  • goal Phil Foden 24'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 87'
  • yellowcard Kevin De Bruyne 90'+6'

Build-up

Injuries & Suspensions