EFL Cup
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions

Lincoln City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Lincoln City has a probability of 33.1% and a draw has a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Lincoln City win is 0-1 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.66%).

Result

Bournemouth 41.6% (-0.77)
Draw 25.29% (-0.25)
Lincoln City 33.1% (+1.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.3% (+0.34)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.61% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 23.39% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 53.66% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 46.34% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 31.06% (+0.51)
Under 3.5 68.89% (-0.57)
Over 4.5 17.94% (+0.47)
Under 4.5 82.06% (-0.46)

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 32.8% (+0.40)
Draw 42.26% (-0.43)
Lincoln City 24.94% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 49.2% (-0.20)
No Goal 6.62% (+0.25)
Lincoln City 44.18% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 59.15% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.44% (-0.25)
Under 8 30.41% (+0.29)
Over 9 48.38% (+0.22)
Equal 9 10.77% (-0.25)
Under 9 40.85% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 38.12% (+0.42)
Under 10.5 61.88% (-0.42)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 42.07% (-0.83)
Under 1.5 57.93% (+0.83)
Over 2.5 18.8% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 81.2% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 6.54% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 93.46% (+0.09)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 68.03% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 31.97% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 35.15% (+0.70)
Under 1.5 64.85% (-0.71)
Over 2.5 14.18% (+0.55)
Under 2.5 85.82% (-0.56)
Over 3.5 5.09% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 94.91% (-0.43)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 41.59%
Draw 25.29%
Lincoln City 33.1%
Bournemouth
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.30)
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.32% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.31)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.38% (+0.01)
Total : 41.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 6.62% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.10)
Total : 25.29%
Lincoln City
0-1 @ 7.92% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 4.95% (+0.46)
1-3 @ 3.16% (+0.17)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.3% (+0.12)
Other @ 4.93% (+0.52)
Total : 33.1%

Head to Head

League Two
Apr 10, 2010 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Davide Somma 23' goal
  • Davide Somma 82' goal
  • Cian Hughton 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anton Robinson 64'
  • goal Brett Pitman 70'
League Two
Sep 12, 2009 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Brett Pitman 7' goal
  • Sammy Igoe 20' goal
  • Sammy Igoe 61' goal
  • goal Christy Fagan 26'
League Two
Jan 31, 2009 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Dany N'Guessan 19' goal
  • Paul Green 45' yellowcard
  • Lee Beevers 76' yellowcard
  • Lee Beevers 86' goal
  • Lee Frecklington 90' goal
  • yellowcard Brett Pitman 19'
  • goal Mark Molesley 36'
  • goal Brett Pitman 65'
  • goal Brett Pitman 77'
League Two
Oct 25, 2008 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danny Hollands 59' yellowcard
  • goal Lenny John-Lewis 24'
  • yellowcard Stefan Oakes 61'
  • yellowcard Lee Frecklington 76'