Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT LNER Stadium
  • Conor McGrandles 43' yellowcard
  • Chris Cohen 54' yellowcard
  • Ivan Varfolomeev 56' yellowcard
  • Freddie Draper 75' yellowcard
  • Mikkel Ladefoged 87' goal
  • goal Welington 44'

Lincoln City vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Championship
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Lincoln 0 - 0 Blackburn
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Adam Reach

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 8.00pm
Birmingham 1 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Cyle Larin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 2-1 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result

Lincoln City 36.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 25.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Southampton 37.95%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.31%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 21.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 55.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 33.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 66.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 19.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.59% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Lincoln City 28.05%
Draw 38.85%
Southampton 33.1%

Team To Score First

Lincoln City 43.89%
No Goal 5.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Southampton 50.2% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.58%
Equal 8 10.91%
Under 8 28.5%
Over 9 49.22%
Equal 9 11.36%
Under 9 39.42%
Over 10.5 38.34%
Under 10.5 61.66%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 1.5 39.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.09% ▲ (+0.02)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 72.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 27.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 40.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 59.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 17.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 6.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.28% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Lincoln City 36.73%
Draw 25.32%
Southampton 37.95%
Lincoln City
2-1 @ 8.28%
1-0 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.57%
3-1 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.82%
Other @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 36.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 25.32%
Southampton
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-1 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 5.5%
1-3 @ 3.92%
0-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 37.95%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Che Adams 25' goal
  • Che Adams 74' goal
  • goal Gavin Bazunu 2' (OG)