Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 12.30pm
LNER Stadium

Lincoln City vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Championship
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Lincoln 0 - 0 Blackburn
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Adam Reach

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 8.00pm
Birmingham 1 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Cyle Larin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Lincoln City has a probability of 34.41% and a draw has a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Lincoln City win is 2-1 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.52%).

Result

Lincoln City 34.41%
Draw 24.24%
Southampton 41.36%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.97%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.95%
Under 1.5 19.05%
Over 2.5 60.19%
Under 2.5 39.81%
Over 3.5 38.11%
Under 3.5 61.89%
Over 4.5 23.54%
Under 4.5 76.46%

First Half Winner

Lincoln City 26.42%
Draw 41.29%
Southampton 32.29%

Team To Score First

Lincoln City 43.23%
No Goal 5.26%
Southampton 51.51%

Corners

Over 8 55.49%
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 33.12%
Over 9 44.1%
Equal 9 11.39%
Under 9 44.51%
Over 10.5 33.61%
Under 10.5 66.39%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 1.5 39.77%
Under 1.5 60.23%
Over 2.5 17.93%
Under 2.5 82.07%
Over 3.5 6.77%
Under 3.5 93.23%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 74.95%
Under 0.5 25.05%
Over 1.5 45.58%
Under 1.5 54.42%
Over 2.5 21.84%
Under 2.5 78.16%
Over 3.5 8.83%
Under 3.5 91.17%

Score analysis

Lincoln City 34.41%
Draw 24.24%
Southampton 41.36%
Lincoln City
2-1 @ 7.65%
1-0 @ 6.42%
2-0 @ 4.49%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 3.14%
3-0 @ 2.42%
Other @ 6.47%
Total : 34.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52%
2-2 @ 6.38%
0-0 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 24.24%
Southampton
1-2 @ 8.48%
0-1 @ 7.38%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 4.38%
0-3 @ 3.53%
2-3 @ 3.32%
Other @ 8.53%
Total : 41.36%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Che Adams 25' goal
  • Che Adams 74' goal
  • goal Gavin Bazunu 2' (OG)