Championship Gameweek 3
Southampton
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Millwall
  • Ryan Manning  4' yellowcard
  • Cyle Larin 25' goal
  • Finn Azaz  38' goal
  • Léo Scienza 55' goal
  • Cyle Larin 62' goal
  • Tom Fellows 86' goal
  • Tom Fellows 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Sykes 10'
  • goal Mark Sykes 15'

Southampton vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Southampton 3 - 1 Stoke
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Cyle Larin

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Millwall 3 - 0 Norwich
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Josh Coburn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%).

Result

Southampton 41.05% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 27.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Millwall 31.64% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.25% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.87%
Under 1.5 26.13%
Over 2.5 49.06% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 50.94% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 26.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 73.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 14.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.96% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Southampton 30.6% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 42.32% ▲ (+0.08)
Millwall 27.09% ▼ (-0.13)

Team To Score First

Southampton 46.96% ▲ (+0.14)
No Goal 7.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Millwall 45.46% ▼ (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 61.61% ▲ (+0.32)
Equal 8 10.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 27.99% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 9 50.69% ▲ (+0.30)
Equal 9 10.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 38.39% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 10.5 40.11% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 10.5 59.89% ▼ (-0.26)

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 40.05% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 59.95% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 16.24% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 83.76% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 5.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.62% ▼ (-0.04)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 66.39% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 33.61% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 32.64% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 67.36% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 11.81% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 88.19% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.72% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Southampton 41.05%
Draw 27.3%
Millwall 31.64%
Southampton
1-0 @ 10.21% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 41.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.66% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 27.3%
Millwall
0-1 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-2 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 31.64%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 25
Southampton
Jan 1, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Millwall
  • Finn Azaz 46' yellowcard
  • Tom Fellows 59' yellowcard
  • Adam Armstrong 59' yellowcard
  • Jay Robinson 78' yellowcard
  • Caspar Jander 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Billy Mitchell 75'
  • yellowcard Danny McNamara 75'
  • yellowcard Joe Bryan 83'
  • yellowcard Aidomo Emakhu 83'
  • yellowcard Ra'ees Bangura-Williams 87'
Championship
Millwall
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Southampton
  • Femi Azeez 72' goal
  • Caleb Taylor 81' goal
  • Alex Neil 83' yellowcard
  • Tristan Crama 90'+7' goal
  • Tristan Crama 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Tristan Crama 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Fellows 36'
  • yellowcard Adam Armstrong 47'
  • goal Adam Armstrong 55'
  • goal Finn Azaz 87'
Club Friendlies 3
Millwall
Aug 3, 2024 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
Southampton
  • 27' goal
  • goal Adam Armstrong 64'
Championship Gameweek 34
Southampton
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 4
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Millwall
  • Che Adams 34' goal
  • Che Adams 34' goal
  • Jack Stephens 43' yellowcard
  • Jack Stephens 44' yellowcard
  • Samuel Edozie 84' yellowcard
  • Taylor Harwood-Bellis 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Kyle Walker-Peters 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Japhet Tanganga 5'
  • goal Japhet Tanganga 5'
  • yellowcard George Honeyman 8'
  • yellowcard George Honeyman 8'
  • yellowcard Japhet Tanganga 13'
  • yellowcard Japhet Tanganga 13'
  • goal Zian Flemming 44'
  • goal Zian Flemming 44'
  • yellowcard Matija Sarkic 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 15
Millwall
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
Southampton
  • Murray Wallace 55' yellowcard
  • Ryan Longman 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Flynn Downes 75'
  • yellowcard Jan Bednarek 90'+1'
  • goal Ryan Fraser 90'+3'
League Cup
Millwall
Aug 26, 2014 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Southampton
  • Matthew Briggs 36' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Cork 52'
  • yellowcard Graziano Pelle 84'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 89'
  • goal Graziano Pelle 93'

Form Data

Southampton 1 - 4 West Ham
Southampton 3 - 1 Stoke
Watford 2 - 1 Southampton
Colchester 0 - 2 Southampton
Preussen Munster 1 - 2 Southampton
Braunschweig 0 - 1 Southampton
Cambridge 0 - 1 Millwall
Millwall 3 - 0 Norwich
Bristol City 0 - 2 Millwall
QPR 1 - 1 Millwall
Millwall 1 - 0 Antwerp
Bromley 1 - 1 Millwall