Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 16, 2026 1.30pm
Vicarage Road

Watford vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
Watford 0 - 4 Coventry

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
May 12, 2026 8.00pm
Southampton 2 - 1 Middlesbrough

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Watford has a probability of 33.41% and a draw has a probability of 24.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Watford win is 2-1 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.29%).

Result

Watford 33.41% (-0.16)
Draw 24.04%
Southampton 42.55% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.39% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.7% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 21.3% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 56.07% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 43.93% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 33.3% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 66.7% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 19.37% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.63% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Watford 28.81% (-0.09)
Draw 40.55% (+0.06)
Southampton 30.64% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Watford 47.53% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.38% (+0.01)
Southampton 47.09% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 70.61% (-0.07)
Equal 8 9.86% (-0.01)
Under 8 19.53% (+0.08)
Over 9 59.41% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.2% (-0.03)
Under 9 29.39% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 47.82%
Under 10.5 52.18%

Watford Goals

Over 1.5 36.61% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 63.39% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 14.89% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 85.11% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 4.8% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 95.2% (+0.07)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 75.34% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 24.66% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 44.08% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 55.92% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 19.81% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 80.19% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 7.37% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.63% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Watford 33.4%
Draw 24.03%
Southampton 42.54%
Watford
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.27% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.88% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.4% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.7% (-0.05)
Total : 33.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.38% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.01)
Total : 24.03%
Southampton
1-2 @ 9.1% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.62% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.49% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.51% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.43% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.27% (+0.05)
Total : 42.54%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 7, 2026 12.31pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Shea Emmanuel Charles 38' yellowcard
  • Samuel Edozie 67' yellowcard
  • Cyle Larin 67' yellowcard
  • Cyle Larin 70' goal
  • Nathan Wood 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luca Kjerrumgaard 63'
  • yellowcard Saba Goglichidze 70'
  • yellowcard Formose Mendy 85'
  • yellowcard Jérémy Pétris 85'
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Baah 86'
Championship
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • William Smallbone 1' goal
  • Che Adams 20' goal
  • Ryan Fraser 74' yellowcard
  • Flynn Downes 90'+9' goal
  • goal Ryan Porteous 34'
  • yellowcard Wesley Hoedt 40'
  • yellowcard Tom Cleverley 41'
  • yellowcard Ryan Porteous 55'
  • yellowcard Edo Kayembe 70'
  • goal Ismael Kone 85'
FA Cup
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • William Smallbone 21' yellowcard
  • Tyler Obling 51' yellowcard
  • Sekou Mara 52' goal
  • Sekou Mara 58' goal
  • Che Adams 76' goal
  • Samuel Edozie 86' yellowcard
  • Adam Armstrong 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Morris 46'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Chakvetadze 49'
  • yellowcard Ryan Porteous 69'
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 75'
FA Cup
Jan 28, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Matheus Martins 5' goal
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Holgate 4'
  • yellowcard Carlos Alcaraz 40'
  • goal Stuart Armstrong 89'
Championship Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Ryan Porteous 59' yellowcard
  • Ismael Kone 61' yellowcard
  • Wesley Hoedt 87' yellowcard
  • Rhys Healey 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Shea Charles 34'
  • yellowcard Adam Armstrong 45'
  • goal Che Adams 56'
  • yellowcard Stuart Armstrong 87'
  • yellowcard Ryan Fraser 90'+3'