Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 16, 2026 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Hector Kyprianou 8' yellowcard
  • Iker Bravo 12' goal
  • Mattie Pollock 13' yellowcard
  • Amin Nabizada 29' goal
  • Amin Nabizada 43' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Doumbia 72' yellowcard
  • Othmane Maamma 74' yellowcard
  • Martín Payero 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cyle Larin 14'
  • yellowcard James Bree 18'
  • goal Cyle Larin 56'
  • yellowcard Flynn Downes 74'

Watford vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
Watford 0 - 4 Coventry

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
May 12, 2026 8.00pm
Southampton 2 - 1 Middlesbrough

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Watford win was 2-1 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Watford 33.35% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 24.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Southampton 42.58% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.32% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 56% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 44% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 33.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 66.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 19.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.64% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Watford 28.86% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 40.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Southampton 30.6% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Watford 47.57% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 5.41% ▲ (+0.04)
Southampton 47.02% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 70.72% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 8 9.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 19.43% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 9 59.53% ▲ (+0.13)
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 29.28% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 10.5 47.93% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 10.5 52.07% ▼ (-0.11)

Watford Goals

Over 1.5 36.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 63.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.85% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 85.15% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.22% ▲ (+0.02)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 75.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 24.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 44.14% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 55.86% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 19.85% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 80.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.62% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Watford 33.35%
Draw 24.07%
Southampton 42.59%
Watford
2-1 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 33.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 24.07%
Southampton
1-2 @ 9.1%
0-1 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 7.27%
Total : 42.59%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 7, 2026 12.31pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Shea Emmanuel Charles 38' yellowcard
  • Samuel Edozie 67' yellowcard
  • Cyle Larin 67' yellowcard
  • Cyle Larin 70' goal
  • Nathan Wood 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luca Kjerrumgaard 63'
  • yellowcard Saba Goglichidze 70'
  • yellowcard Formose Mendy 85'
  • yellowcard Jérémy Pétris 85'
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Baah 86'
Championship
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • William Smallbone 1' goal
  • Che Adams 20' goal
  • Ryan Fraser 74' yellowcard
  • Flynn Downes 90'+9' goal
  • goal Ryan Porteous 34'
  • yellowcard Wesley Hoedt 40'
  • yellowcard Tom Cleverley 41'
  • yellowcard Ryan Porteous 55'
  • yellowcard Edo Kayembe 70'
  • goal Ismael Kone 85'
FA Cup
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • William Smallbone 21' yellowcard
  • Tyler Obling 51' yellowcard
  • Sekou Mara 52' goal
  • Sekou Mara 58' goal
  • Che Adams 76' goal
  • Samuel Edozie 86' yellowcard
  • Adam Armstrong 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Morris 46'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Chakvetadze 49'
  • yellowcard Ryan Porteous 69'
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 75'
FA Cup
Jan 28, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Matheus Martins 5' goal
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Holgate 4'
  • yellowcard Carlos Alcaraz 40'
  • goal Stuart Armstrong 89'
Championship Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Ryan Porteous 59' yellowcard
  • Ismael Kone 61' yellowcard
  • Wesley Hoedt 87' yellowcard
  • Rhys Healey 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Shea Charles 34'
  • yellowcard Adam Armstrong 45'
  • goal Che Adams 56'
  • yellowcard Stuart Armstrong 87'
  • yellowcard Ryan Fraser 90'+3'