Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 28, 2026 7.45pm
St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton vs Ipswich Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
Southampton 2 - 2 Bristol City
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Finn Azaz

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
West Brom 0 - 0 Ipswich
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
George Hirst

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Ipswich Town has a probability of 32.19% and a draw has a probability of 26.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win is 0-1 (8.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.31%).

Result

Southampton 41.8% (-0.58)
Draw 26.01% (+0.45)
Ipswich Town 32.19% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.11% (-1.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.94% (-1.22)
Under 1.5 25.06% (+1.21)
Over 2.5 50.34% (-1.56)
Under 2.5 49.66% (+1.56)
Over 3.5 28.04% (-1.34)
Under 3.5 71.96% (+1.33)
Over 4.5 15.6% (-0.96)
Under 4.5 84.4% (+0.96)

First Half Winner

Southampton 31.7%
Draw 41.22%
Ipswich Town 27.08%

Team To Score First

Southampton 48.63% (-0.25)
No Goal 7.04% (+0.47)
Ipswich Town 44.33% (-0.22)

Corners

Over 8 63.7%
Equal 8 11.14%
Under 8 25.16%
Over 9 51.76%
Equal 9 11.94%
Under 9 36.3%
Over 10.5 40.1%
Under 10.5 59.9%

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 40.79% (-1.29)
Under 1.5 59.21% (+1.29)
Over 2.5 17.14% (-1.08)
Under 2.5 82.86% (+1.07)
Over 3.5 5.74% (-0.59)
Under 3.5 94.26% (+0.60)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.66% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 33.34% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 33.36% (-0.51)
Under 1.5 66.64% (+0.52)
Over 2.5 12.86% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 87.14% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 4.01% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 95.99% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Southampton 41.81%
Draw 25.99%
Ipswich Town 32.2%
Southampton
1-0 @ 10% (+0.47)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 7.15% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.20)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.15)
Other @ 5.53% (-0.59)
Total : 41.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.31% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 7.04% (+0.47)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.21% (-0.02)
Total : 25.99%
Ipswich Town
0-1 @ 8.02% (+0.29)
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.14% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.8% (-0.10)
Total : 32.2%

Head to Head

Championship
Aug 17, 2025 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Portman Road Stadium
  • Liam Delap 31' goal
  • goal Joe Aribo 21'
  • yellowcard Welington 40'
  • yellowcard Jan Bednarek 74'
  • goal Paul Onuachu 87'
  • yellowcard Yukinari Sugawara 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Tyler Obling 5' goal
  • Tyler Obling 5' goal
  • Charlie Taylor 25' yellowcard
  • Charlie Taylor 25' yellowcard
  • Adam Lallana 52' yellowcard
  • Adam Lallana 52' yellowcard
  • Flynn Downes 63' yellowcard
  • Ross Stewart 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Delap 63'
  • yellowcard Omari Hutchinson 63'
  • yellowcard Jack Taylor 83'
  • yellowcard Dara O'Shea 90'+3'
  • goal Sam Morsy 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Portman Road Stadium
  • Leif Davis 13' goal
  • Sam Morsy 16' yellowcard
  • Nathan Broadhead 68' goal
  • Jack Taylor 70' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Sarmiento 90'+7' goal
  • Conor Chaplin 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Che Adams 14'
  • goal Adam Armstrong 23'
  • redcard James Bree 85'
  • yellowcard Jan Bednarek 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Taylor Harwood-Bellis 59' yellowcard
  • Che Adams 77' yellowcard
  • goal Omari Hutchinson 30'
  • yellowcard Brandon Williams 38'
  • yellowcard Jack Taylor 52'
FA Cup
Jan 14, 2015 7.55pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Shane Long 19'