Championship Gameweek 40
Southampton
Apr 28, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Ipswich
  • Ryan Manning 58' goal
  • Samuel Edozie 69' yellowcard
  • Cyle Larin 80' goal
  • Ross Stewart 81' yellowcard
  • goal Wes Burns 48'
  • yellowcard Jack Clarke 67'
  • yellowcard Kasey McAteer 67'
  • yellowcard Jens Cajuste 75'
  • yellowcard George Hirst 75'
  • yellowcard Chuba Akpom 82'
  • goal Jack Clarke 87'

Southampton vs Ipswich Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
Southampton 2 - 2 Bristol City
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Cyle Larin

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
West Brom 0 - 0 Ipswich
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
George Hirst

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 0-1 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Southampton 41.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 26.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Ipswich Town 32.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.52% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 25.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 49.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 50.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 27.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 72.73% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 14.93% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 4.5 85.07% ▲ (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Southampton 31.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 41.02%
Ipswich Town 27.59% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Southampton 45.97% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 7.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Ipswich Town 46.74% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 61.15% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.46%
Under 8 27.4% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 49.13% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 9 12.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 38.85% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 37.64% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 62.36% ▲ (+0.08)

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 40.02%
Under 1.5 59.98%
Over 2.5 16.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 5.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.52% ▲ (+0.01)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 33.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 32.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 67.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 12.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 87.43% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.18% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Southampton 41.5%
Draw 26.15%
Ipswich Town 32.35%
Southampton
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 41.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 26.15%
Ipswich Town
0-1 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 32.35%

Head to Head

Championship
Ipswich
Aug 17, 2025 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Southampton
Premier League Gameweek 24
Ipswich
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Portman Road Stadium
Southampton
  • Liam Delap 31' goal
  • goal Joe Aribo 21'
  • yellowcard Welington 40'
  • yellowcard Jan Bednarek 74'
  • goal Paul Onuachu 87'
  • yellowcard Yukinari Sugawara 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Southampton
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Ipswich
  • Tyler Obling 5' goal
  • Tyler Obling 5' goal
  • Charlie Taylor 25' yellowcard
  • Charlie Taylor 25' yellowcard
  • Adam Lallana 52' yellowcard
  • Adam Lallana 52' yellowcard
  • Flynn Downes 63' yellowcard
  • Ross Stewart 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Delap 63'
  • yellowcard Omari Hutchinson 63'
  • yellowcard Jack Taylor 83'
  • yellowcard Dara O'Shea 90'+3'
  • goal Sam Morsy 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 40
Ipswich
Apr 1, 2024 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Portman Road Stadium
Southampton
  • Leif Davis 13' goal
  • Sam Morsy 16' yellowcard
  • Nathan Broadhead 68' goal
  • Jack Taylor 70' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Sarmiento 90'+7' goal
  • Conor Chaplin 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Che Adams 14'
  • goal Adam Armstrong 23'
  • redcard James Bree 85'
  • yellowcard Jan Bednarek 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 7
Southampton
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Ipswich
  • Taylor Harwood-Bellis 59' yellowcard
  • Che Adams 77' yellowcard
  • goal Omari Hutchinson 30'
  • yellowcard Brandon Williams 38'
  • yellowcard Jack Taylor 52'
FA Cup
Ipswich
Jan 14, 2015 7.55pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Southampton
  • goal Shane Long 19'

Form Data

Man City 2 - 1 Southampton
Southampton 2 - 2 Bristol City
Swansea 1 - 2 Southampton
Southampton 3 - 0 Blackburn
Southampton 2 - 1 Derby
Wrexham 1 - 5 Southampton
West Brom 0 - 0 Ipswich
Charlton 1 - 2 Ipswich
Ipswich 2 - 2 Middlesbrough
Portsmouth 2 - 0 Ipswich
Norwich 0 - 2 Ipswich
Ipswich 2 - 1 Birmingham

Build-up

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