May 9, 2026 12.30pm

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

D
W
W
D
L
D

Championship

D
W
W
D
L
D

Last game

May 2, 2026 12.30pm

Wrexham 2 - 2 Middlesbrough

Goals scored

72

Top scorer

Morgan Whittaker

Southampton

All competitions

W
D
L
D
W
W

Championship

W
D
D
W
W
W

Last game

May 2, 2026 12.30pm

Preston 1 - 3 Southampton

Goals scored

82

Top scorer

Cyle Larin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Southampton has a probability of 26.22% and a draw has a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Southampton win is 1-2 (6.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.17%).

Result

Middlesbrough 51.72%

Draw 22.1%

Southampton 26.22%

Both Teams to Score:

58.67%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.24% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 18.76% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 59.94%

Under 2.5 40.06%

Over 3.5 37.05%

Under 3.5 62.95%

Over 4.5 22.86% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 4.5 77.14% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 45.92%

Draw 37.01%

Southampton 17.07%

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 63.24%

No Goal 4.5%

Southampton 32.26%

Corners

Over 8 68.56%

Equal 8 9.56%

Under 8 21.88%

Over 9 57.96%

Equal 9 10.61%

Under 9 31.44%

Over 10.5 47.12%

Under 10.5 52.88%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 52.96% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 47.04% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 26.91%

Under 2.5 73.09%

Over 3.5 11.59%

Under 3.5 88.41%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 63.17%

Under 0.5 36.83%

Over 1.5 31.67%

Under 1.5 68.33%

Over 2.5 11.94%

Under 2.5 88.06%

Over 3.5 3.97% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 96.03% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 51.72%

Draw 22.1%

Southampton 26.22%

Middlesbrough

2-1 @ 10.14%

1-0 @ 8.6%

2-0 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 5.49%

3-0 @ 4.8%

3-2 @ 3.72%

Other @ 11.45%

Total : 51.72%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.17%

2-2 @ 5.98%

0-0 @ 4.5%

3-3 @ 1.31%

Other @ 0.14%

Total : 22.1%

Southampton

1-2 @ 6.42%

0-1 @ 5.7%

0-2 @ 3.61%

1-3 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 2.41%

0-3 @ 1.53%

Other @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 26.22%

Head to Head

Jan 4, 2026 3.00pm

4

0

HT : 0 0

FT Riverside Stadium

Alan Browne 6'
Morgan Whittaker 54'
Sam Silvera 61'
Morgan Whittaker 66'
Alan Browne 76'
Alex Gilbert 82'
Micah Hamilton 90'
Sverre Nypan 90'

Cameron Bragg 61'
Welington 74'
Cameron Archer 74'
Elias Jelert 74'
Ross Stewart 85'

Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT St. Mary's Stadium

Adam Armstrong 12'
Flynn Downes 34'
Stuart Armstrong 83'

Luke Ayling 45'+2'
Emmanuel Latte Lath 50'
Isaiah Jones 50'
Finn Azaz 62'
Lewis O'Brien 70'
Emmanuel Latte Lath 90'

Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Riverside Stadium

Riley McGree 44'
Isaiah Jones 53'
Hayden Hackney 58'
Jonny Howson 66'
Tommy Smith 90'+6'

Adam Armstrong 17'
Russell Martin 54'

May 13, 2017 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Adam Clayton 66'
Patrick Bamford 73'
Ben Gibson 86'
Marten de Roon 90'

Jay Rodriguez 42'
Nathan Redmond 57'

Dec 11, 2016 2.15pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Dusan Tadic 22'
Sofiane Boufal 45'
Sofiane Boufal 53'
Jose Fonte 55'
Oriol Romeu 58'

Antonio Barragan 17'
Adam Forshaw 52'
Adam Clayton 80'

Form Data

Wrexham 2 - 2 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 5 - 1 Watford

Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Sheff Weds

Ipswich 2 - 2 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Portsmouth

Swansea 2 - 2 Middlesbrough

Preston 1 - 3 Southampton

Southampton 2 - 2 Ipswich

Man City 2 - 1 Southampton

Southampton 2 - 2 Bristol City

Swansea 1 - 2 Southampton

Southampton 3 - 0 Blackburn