Championship
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-
Alan Browne
68'
-
Jeremy Sarmiento
79'
-
Leo Castledine
79'
-
Ross Stewart
60'
-
Kuryu Matsuki
69'
-
Shea Emmanuel Charles
69'
-
Samuel Edozie
86'
Middlesbrough vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result
Middlesbrough
51.77%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
22.03%
▼
(-0.08)
Southampton
26.23%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
58.7%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
81.28%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
18.72%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 2.5
60.02%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
39.98%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 3.5
37.02%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
62.94%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
22.85%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
77.15%
▲
(+0.02)
First Half Winner
Middlesbrough
45.89%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
37.02%
▲
(+0.02)
Southampton
17.09%
▲
(+0.02)
Team To Score First
Middlesbrough
63.22%
▼
(-0.03)
No Goal
4.48%
▼
(-0.02)
Southampton
32.3%
▲
(+0.04)
Corners
Over 8
68.53%
▼
(-0.04)
Equal 8
9.56%
Under 8
21.91%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 9
57.93%
▼
(-0.04)
Equal 9
10.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 9
31.47%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 10.5
47.11%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 10.5
52.89%
▲
(+0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 1.5
52.97%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
47.03%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 2.5
26.92%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
73.08%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
11.6%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
88.4%
▼
(-0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5
63.17%
Under 0.5
36.83%
Over 1.5
31.66%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
68.34%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
11.94%
Under 2.5
88.06%
Over 3.5
3.96%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
96.04%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Middlesbrough
51.77%
Draw
22.03%
Southampton
26.24%
Middlesbrough
2-1
@
10.18%
▲
(+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 11.47% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 51.77%
1-0 @ 8.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 11.47% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 51.77%
Draw
1-1
@
10.16%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.03%
2-2 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.03%
Southampton
1-2
@
6.44%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 26.24%
Head to Head
Championship
Gameweek
26
-
Alan Browne
6'
-
Morgan Whittaker
54'
-
Sam Silvera
61'
-
Morgan Whittaker
66'
-
Alan Browne
76'
-
Alex Gilbert
82'
-
Micah Hamilton
90'
-
Sverre Nypan
90'
-
Cameron Bragg
61'
-
Welington
74'
-
Cameron Archer
74'
-
Elias Jelert
74'
-
Ross Stewart
85'
Championship
Championship
Gameweek
39
-
Adam Armstrong
12'
-
Flynn Downes
34'
-
Stuart Armstrong
83'
-
Luke Ayling
45'+2'
-
Emmanuel Latte Lath
50'
-
Isaiah Jones
50'
-
Finn Azaz
62'
-
Lewis O'Brien
70'
-
Emmanuel Latte Lath
90'
Championship
Gameweek
8
-
Riley McGree
44'
-
Isaiah Jones
53'
-
Hayden Hackney
58'
-
Jonny Howson
66'
-
Tommy Smith
90'+6'
-
Adam Armstrong
17'
-
Russell Martin
54'
Premier League
-
Adam Clayton
66'
-
Patrick Bamford
73'
-
Ben Gibson
86'
-
Marten de Roon
90'
-
Jay Rodriguez
42'
-
Nathan Redmond
57'
Premier League
-
Dusan Tadic
22'
-
Sofiane Boufal
45'
-
Sofiane Boufal
53'
-
Jose Fonte
55'
-
Oriol Romeu
58'
-
Antonio Barragan
17'
-
Adam Forshaw
52'
-
Adam Clayton
80'
Form Data
Build-up
How to watch