Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.