Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 2-1 (7.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.