Championship Gameweek 46
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
Racecourse Ground

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 12.00pm
Coventry 3 - 1 Wrexham
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Josh Windass

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
Middlesbrough 5 - 1 Watford
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Wrexham has a probability of 30.9% and a draw has a probability of 25.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Wrexham win is 2-1 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.46%).

Result

Wrexham 30.9% (-0.05)
Draw 25.46%
Middlesbrough 43.61%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.67%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.93%
Under 1.5 21.07%
Over 2.5 56.01%
Under 2.5 43.99%
Over 3.5 33.49%
Under 3.5 66.51%
Over 4.5 19.27% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 80.73% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Wrexham 23.98%
Draw 38.94%
Middlesbrough 37.08%

Team To Score First

Wrexham 40.35%
No Goal 5.81%
Middlesbrough 53.84%

Corners

Over 8 61.83%
Equal 8 11.14%
Under 8 27.03%
Over 9 50.14%
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 38.17%
Over 10.5 38.9%
Under 10.5 61.1%

Wrexham Goals

Over 1.5 35.09%
Under 1.5 64.91%
Over 2.5 13.61%
Under 2.5 86.39%
Over 3.5 4.26% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.74% (-0.02)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 76.11% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 23.89% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 46.02% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 53.98% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 21.52% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 78.48% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 8.2% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.8% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Wrexham 30.91%
Draw 25.46%
Middlesbrough 43.61%
Wrexham
2-1 @ 7.39%
1-0 @ 7.15% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.78% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.31%
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 30.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.46%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.81%
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.33% (+0.02)
Total : 25.46%
Middlesbrough
1-2 @ 9.35%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.67% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.92%
0-3 @ 3.57%
2-3 @ 3.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.87% (+0.01)
Total : 43.61%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT