Championship
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Southampton vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Middlesbrough has a probability of 33.62% and a draw has a probability of 26.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win is 0-1 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.1%).
Result
Southampton
40.3%
▲
(+0.46)
Draw
26.08%
Middlesbrough
33.62%
▼
(-0.48)
Both Teams to Score:
55.69%
▼
(-0.38)
Goals
Over 1.5
75.39%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 1.5
24.61%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 2.5
51.45%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 2.5
48.55%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 3.5
28.67%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 3.5
71.33%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 4.5
15.64%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
84.36%
▲
(+0.10)
First Half Winner
Southampton
32.32%
Draw
37.52%
Middlesbrough
30.16%
Team To Score First
Southampton
47.09%
▼
(-0.05)
No Goal
6.86%
▲
(+0.11)
Middlesbrough
46.05%
▼
(-0.06)
Corners
Over 8
66.32%
Equal 8
10.89%
Under 8
22.79%
Over 9
54.38%
Equal 9
11.94%
Under 9
33.68%
Over 10.5
42.48%
Under 10.5
57.52%
Southampton Goals
Over 1.5
40.22%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 1.5
59.78%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 2.5
16.09%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
83.91%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
5.2%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
94.8%
▼
(-0.05)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5
68.19%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 0.5
31.81%
▲
(+0.59)
Over 1.5
35.13%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 1.5
64.87%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 2.5
13.93%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 2.5
86.07%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 3.5
4.45%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
95.55%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Southampton
40.3%
Draw
26.07%
Middlesbrough
33.61%
Southampton
1-0
@
9.67%
▲
(+0.19)
2-1 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 40.3%
2-1 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 40.3%
Draw
1-1
@
12.1%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.07%
0-0 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.07%
Middlesbrough
0-1
@
8.06%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 33.61%
1-2 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 33.61%
Head to Head
Championship
-
Alan Browne
68'
-
Jeremy Sarmiento
79'
-
Leo Castledine
79'
-
Ross Stewart
60'
-
Kuryu Matsuki
69'
-
Shea Emmanuel Charles
69'
-
Samuel Edozie
86'
Championship
Gameweek
26
-
Alan Browne
6'
-
Morgan Whittaker
54'
-
Sam Silvera
61'
-
Morgan Whittaker
66'
-
Alan Browne
76'
-
Alex Gilbert
82'
-
Micah Hamilton
90'
-
Sverre Nypan
90'
-
Cameron Bragg
61'
-
Welington
74'
-
Cameron Archer
74'
-
Elias Jelert
74'
-
Ross Stewart
85'
Championship
Championship
Gameweek
39
-
Adam Armstrong
12'
-
Flynn Downes
34'
-
Stuart Armstrong
83'
-
Luke Ayling
45'+2'
-
Emmanuel Latte Lath
50'
-
Isaiah Jones
50'
-
Finn Azaz
62'
-
Lewis O'Brien
70'
-
Emmanuel Latte Lath
90'
Championship
Gameweek
8
-
Riley McGree
44'
-
Isaiah Jones
53'
-
Hayden Hackney
58'
-
Jonny Howson
66'
-
Tommy Smith
90'+6'
-
Adam Armstrong
17'
-
Russell Martin
54'
Premier League
-
Adam Clayton
66'
-
Patrick Bamford
73'
-
Ben Gibson
86'
-
Marten de Roon
90'
-
Jay Rodriguez
42'
-
Nathan Redmond
57'