Championship
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Adam Randell 23' yellowcard
  • Adam Randell 36' redcard
  • yellowcard Josh Coburn 15'
  • goal Josh Coburn 41'
  • yellowcard Jenson Metcalfe 45'
  • goal Josh Coburn 50'

Bristol City vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
Bristol City 2 - 0 Stoke

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 8.00pm
Millwall 0 - 2 Hull City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Bristol City 36.51% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 26.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Millwall 37.36% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.5% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.55% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 26.45% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 48.47% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 51.53% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 26.38% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 73.62% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 14.08% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 4.5 85.92% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Bristol City 28.52%
Draw 42.8%
Millwall 28.68%

Team To Score First

Bristol City 45.42% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 7.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Millwall 47.16% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 69.76%
Equal 8 10%
Under 8 20.24%
Over 9 58.48%
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 30.24%
Over 10.5 46.9%
Under 10.5 53.1%

Bristol City Goals

Over 1.5 35.5% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 64.5% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 13.57% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 86.43% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 4.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.88% ▲ (+0.04)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 70.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 29.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 36.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 63.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.65% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bristol City 36.51%
Draw 26.13%
Millwall 37.37%
Bristol City
1-0 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 36.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.13%
Millwall
0-1 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-2 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.53%
0-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.36%
Other @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 37.37%

Head to Head

Championship
Dec 29, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Camiel Neghli 16' goal
  • Alfie Doughty 23' yellowcard
  • Zak Sturge 38' yellowcard
  • Tristan Crama 41' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Langstaff 81' goal
  • Thierno Ballo 83' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Randell 49'
  • yellowcard Neto Borges 87'
Championship
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sinclair Armstrong 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raees Bangura-Williams 25'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 50'
  • goal Mihailo Ivanovic 59'
  • yellowcard Zak Sturge 80'
  • yellowcard Alfie Doughty 87'
  • yellowcard Thierno Ballo 90'
Championship Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • goal Zak Vyner 53'
  • goal Harry Cornick 83'
Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Anis Mehmeti 3' goal
  • Sinclair Armstrong 12' goal
  • Mark Sykes 50' yellowcard
  • Fally Mayulu 78' goal
  • Scott Twine 88' goal
  • yellowcard Casper De Norre 49'
  • goal Romain Esse 51'
  • goal Tom Bradshaw 54'
  • goal Duncan Watmore 64'
  • yellowcard Lukas Jensen 67'
Championship Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Joe Williams 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brooke Norton-Cuffy 74'
  • goal Shaun Hutchinson 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ryan Leonard 90'+7'
Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Shaun Hutchinson 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Williams 25'
  • yellowcard Cameron Pring 69'
  • yellowcard Zak Vyner 88'
  • goal Matty James 90'+4'