Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
Bristol City 2 - 0 Stoke

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 8.00pm
Millwall 0 - 2 Hull City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Bristol City has a probability of 36.63% and a draw has a probability of 26.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Bristol City win is 1-0 (9.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.53%).

Result

Bristol City 36.63% (+0.04)
Draw 26.06%
Millwall 37.27% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.67%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.67%
Under 1.5 26.33%
Over 2.5 48.65%
Under 2.5 51.35%
Over 3.5 26.51% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 73.49% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.18% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.82% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Bristol City 28.51%
Draw 42.82%
Millwall 28.67%

Team To Score First

Bristol City 45.44% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.37% (+0.01)
Millwall 47.19%

Corners

Over 8 69.8%
Equal 8 10%
Under 8 20.2%
Over 9 58.53% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 30.2%
Over 10.5 46.94% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 53.06% (-0.01)

Bristol City Goals

Over 1.5 35.69% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 64.31% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.69% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.31% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.17%
Under 3.5 95.83%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 70.13% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 29.87% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 36.41% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63.59% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 13.93% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.07% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.36% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.64% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bristol City 36.63%
Draw 26.08%
Millwall 37.28%
Bristol City
1-0 @ 9.49% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.2% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 3.53%
3-0 @ 2.7% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 36.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.37% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.08%
Millwall
0-1 @ 9.46%
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-2 @ 6.34% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37%
Other @ 4.35% (-0.02)
Total : 37.28%

Head to Head

Championship
Dec 29, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Camiel Neghli 16' goal
  • Alfie Doughty 23' yellowcard
  • Zak Sturge 38' yellowcard
  • Tristan Crama 41' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Langstaff 81' goal
  • Thierno Ballo 83' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Randell 49'
  • yellowcard Neto Borges 87'
Championship
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sinclair Armstrong 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raees Bangura-Williams 25'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 50'
  • goal Mihailo Ivanovic 59'
  • yellowcard Zak Sturge 80'
  • yellowcard Alfie Doughty 87'
  • yellowcard Thierno Ballo 90'
Championship Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • goal Zak Vyner 53'
  • goal Harry Cornick 83'
Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Anis Mehmeti 3' goal
  • Sinclair Armstrong 12' goal
  • Mark Sykes 50' yellowcard
  • Fally Mayulu 78' goal
  • Scott Twine 88' goal
  • yellowcard Casper De Norre 49'
  • goal Romain Esse 51'
  • goal Tom Bradshaw 54'
  • goal Duncan Watmore 64'
  • yellowcard Lukas Jensen 67'
Championship Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Joe Williams 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brooke Norton-Cuffy 74'
  • goal Shaun Hutchinson 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ryan Leonard 90'+7'
Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Shaun Hutchinson 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Williams 25'
  • yellowcard Cameron Pring 69'
  • yellowcard Zak Vyner 88'
  • goal Matty James 90'+4'