Championship Gameweek 46
Millwall
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
The Den
Oxford Utd

Millwall vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 8.00pm
Leicester 1 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Josh Coburn

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Oxford Utd 4 - 1 Sheff Weds
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw has a probability of 23.29% and a win for Oxford United has a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.2%) , while for a Oxford United win it is 0-1 (6.18%).

Result

Millwall 57.21%
Draw 23.29%
Oxford United 19.5%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.57% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 26.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 49.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.63%
Under 3.5 72.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.01%
Under 4.5 83.99%

First Half Winner

Millwall 43.94%
Draw 41.06%
Oxford United 15%

Team To Score First

Millwall 62.94%
No Goal 6.96%
Oxford United 30.1%

Corners

Over 8 65.97%
Equal 8 10.26%
Under 8 23.76%
Over 9 54.81%
Equal 9 11.16%
Under 9 34.03%
Over 10.5 43.68%
Under 10.5 56.32%

Millwall Goals

Over 1.5 50.76%
Under 1.5 49.24%
Over 2.5 24.65%
Under 2.5 75.35%
Over 3.5 9.51%
Under 3.5 90.49%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 54.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 45.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 21.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 78.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 6.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 93.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.43%
Under 3.5 98.57%

Score analysis

Millwall 57.2%
Draw 23.29%
Oxford United 19.51%
Millwall
1-0 @ 13.01% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.83%
3-1 @ 5.67%
3-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 9.5%
Total : 57.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.96%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.29%
Oxford United
0-1 @ 6.18%
1-2 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 19.51%

Head to Head

Championship
Oxford Utd
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Millwall
Championship Gameweek 25
Millwall
Jan 1, 2025 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
Oxford Utd
  • goal Ruben Rodrigues 57'
  • yellowcard Cameron Brannagan 64'
Championship Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
Nov 30, 2024 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Kassam Stadium
Millwall
  • Tyler Goodrham 85' goal
  • yellowcard Japhet Tanganga 3'
  • goal Japhet Tanganga 45'
  • yellowcard Ryan Leonard 59'
  • yellowcard Joe Bryan 64'
  • yellowcard George Saville 90'+1'
EFL Cup Gameweek 2
Oxford Utd
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
2
2
ET
Millwall
  • Mark Sykes 58' yellowcard
  • John Mousinho 69' yellowcard
  • James Hanson 73' yellowcard
  • Kevin Berkoe 80' yellowcard
  • Mark Sykes 87' goal
  • James Henry 94' goal
  • goal Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 29'
  • goal Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 52'
League One
Millwall
Apr 22, 2017 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Oxford Utd
  • Tony Craig 28' yellowcard
  • goal Conor McAleny 6'
  • goal Conor McAleny 9'
  • goal Josh Ruffels 71'
League One
Oxford Utd
Oct 29, 2016 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Millwall
  • Joe Skarz 26' yellowcard
  • Liam Sercombe 31' goal
  • Philip Edwards 52' yellowcard
  • Joe Rothwell 65' yellowcard
  • Chris Maguire 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mahlon Romeo 9'
  • yellowcard Ben Thompson 23'
  • goal Steve Morison 36'
  • goal Aiden O'Brien 50'
  • yellowcard Shane Ferguson 67'
  • yellowcard Steve Morison 93'

Form Data

Leicester 1 - 1 Millwall
Stoke 1 - 3 Millwall
Millwall 2 - 0 QPR
West Brom 0 - 0 Millwall
Millwall 1 - 2 Norwich
Middlesbrough 1 - 2 Millwall
Oxford Utd 4 - 1 Sheff Weds
Oxford Utd 0 - 1 Wrexham
Derby 1 - 0 Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd 2 - 0 Watford
Portsmouth 2 - 2 Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd 1 - 1 Hull City