Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

L
W
W
W
W
W

Championship

L
W
D
W
D
D

Last game

Aug 16, 2026 1.30pm

Watford 2 - 1 Southampton

Stoke City

All competitions

L
W
D
W
W
D

Championship

L
L
L
L
L
D

Last game

Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm

Stoke 1 - 2 Swansea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw has a probability of 24.46% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 17.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.38%) , while for a Stoke City win it is 0-1 (5.87%).

Result

Southampton 58.23%

Draw 24.46%

Stoke City 17.29%

Both Teams to Score:

42.94%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.35% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 29.65% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 45.63%

Under 2.5 54.37%

Over 3.5 24.24%

Under 3.5 75.76%

Over 4.5 14.47%

Under 4.5 85.53%

First Half Winner

Southampton 40.8%

Draw 41.24%

Stoke City 17.97%

Team To Score First

Southampton 58.36%

No Goal 9.19%

Stoke City 32.45%

Corners

Over 8 69.59%

Equal 8 9.89%

Under 8 20.52%

Over 9 58.49%

Equal 9 11.1%

Under 9 30.41%

Over 10.5 47.1%

Under 10.5 52.9%

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 49.79% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 50.21% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 23.46% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 76.54% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 9.17%

Under 3.5 90.83%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 48.34% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 0.5 51.66% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 1.5 18.37%

Under 1.5 81.63%

Over 2.5 5.78%

Under 2.5 94.22%

Over 3.5 1.43%

Under 3.5 98.57%

Score analysis

Southampton 58.23%

Draw 24.46%

Stoke City 17.29%

Southampton

1-0 @ 14.57%

2-0 @ 12.09%

2-1 @ 9.14%

3-0 @ 6.85%

3-1 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 2.06%

Other @ 8.94%

Total : 58.23%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.38%

0-0 @ 9.19%

2-2 @ 3.86%

Other @ 0.23%

Total : 24.46%

Stoke City

0-1 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.01)

1-2 @ 4.41%

0-2 @ 2.26%

1-3 @ 1.33%

2-3 @ 1.24%

Other @ 1.2%

Total : 17.29%

Head to Head

Jan 31, 2026 12.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Bet365 Stadium

Tatsuki Seko 46'
Ben Wilmot 46'
Ben Pearson 46'
Favour Fawunmi 78'

Finn Azaz 10'
Flynn Downes 52'
Nicholas Oyekunle 65'
Kuryu Matsuki 65'
Shea Emmanuel Charles 74'
Ryan Manning 90'

Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm

3

2

HT : 7 3

FT St. Mary's Stadium

Taylor Harwood-Bellis 19'
Taylor Harwood-Bellis 19'
Taylor Harwood-Bellis 19'
Taylor Harwood-Bellis 19'
Adam Armstrong 35'
Adam Armstrong 35'
Adam Armstrong 35'
Junior Tchamadeu 66'
Adam Armstrong 66'
James Bree 88'
Maxwel Cornet 90'+2'

Ashley Famiwuya 45'
Ashley Famiwuya 45'
Ashley Famiwuya 45'
Tom Cannon 54'
Tom Cannon 54'
Tom Cannon 54'
Adam Armstrong 66'
Junior Tchamadeu 66'

Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 2

FT St. Mary's Stadium

Jack Stephens 42'
Jack Stephens 42'
David Brooks 44'
David Brooks 44'

Tyrese Campbell 36'
Tyrese Campbell 36'
Luke Cundle 38'
Luke Cundle 38'

Oct 3, 2023 8.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Bet365 Stadium

Ki-Jana Hoever 44'
Ben Pearson 45'
Daniel Johnson 86'
Mehdi Leris 87'

Stuart Armstrong 41'
Flynn Downes 86'

Mar 3, 2018 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Geoff Cameron 41'

Form Data

Watford 2 - 1 Southampton

Colchester 0 - 2 Southampton

Preussen Munster 1 - 2 Southampton

Braunschweig 0 - 1 Southampton

Eastleigh 1 - 3 Southampton

Southampton 2 - 1 Middlesbrough

Stoke 1 - 2 Swansea

Stoke 2 - 0 Oldham

Stoke 1 - 1 Valencia

Stoke 1 - 0 Everton

Chester 0 - 1 Stoke

Crewe 1 - 1 Stoke